Projections for the 34 at-large bids below, listed alphabetically by conference. The team currently in position for the automatic bid in each respective conference is also listed in parentheses and not counted toward the total of 34.
Leagues not listed project only the lone automatic qualifier making the field of 64.
At-large teams
ACC: (Georgia Tech), Florida State, Maryland, North Carolina
Big 12: (Texas), Baylor, Missouri, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas, Texas Tech
Big East: (Notre Dame), DePaul, Louisville, Syracuse
Big Ten: (Michigan), Illinois, Indiana
Big West: (Pacific), Long Beach State
Conference USA: (Houston), East Carolina, Memphis, Tulsa, UAB
Mountain West: (BYU), San Diego State
Pac-10: (Arizona State), Arizona, California, Oregon, Stanford, UCLA, Washington
SEC: (Alabama), Auburn, Georgia, Florida, Kentucky, LSU, Tennessee
WAC: (New Mexico State), Fresno State
Last five teams in
No. 64 Florida State
RPI: 51
5-13 vs. RPI top 50
15-24 vs. RPI top 100
Key wins: Georgia Tech, Kentucky, Long Beach, Maryland, BYU
No. 63 North Carolina
RPI 41
4-13 vs. RPI top 50
17-18 vs. RPI top 100
Key wins: Maryland (2), Penn State, Jacksonville, Florida State (3)
No. 62 East Carolina
RPI 44
7-13 vs. RPI top 50
14-17 vs. RPI top 100
Key wins: UAB (2), Maryland, Tulsa (2), Memphis, Longwood
No. 61 Illinois
RPI 37
4-17 vs. RPI top 50
17-20 vs. RPI top 100
Key wins: Maryland, Fordham, Penn State, Longwood
No. 60 Memphis
RPI 43
6-9 vs. RPI top 50
11-10 vs. RPI top 100
Key wins: Stanford, Kentucky, Houston, UAB, East Carolina (2)
First five teams out
No. 65 Longwood
50 RPI
5-5 vs. RPI top 50
12-10 vs. RPI top 100
Key wins: Georgia, Notre Dame, East Carolina, Penn State (2)
No. 66 Penn State
RPI 46
4-14 vs. RPI top 50
18-21-1 vs. RPI top 100
Key wins: Oklahoma, Fresno State, Tulsa, Illinois
No. 67 South Florida
RPI 53
5-15 vs. RPI top 50
7-16 vs. RPI top 100
Key wins: Syracuse (3), DePaul, Illinois State
No 68 Florida International
RPI 59
5-10 vs. top 50
13-21 vs. top 100
Key wins: Georgia Tech (2), Louisiana-Lafayette, Memphis, Penn State
No. 69 Hawaii
RPI 55
4-10 vs. RPI top 50
11-14 vs. RPI top 100
Key wins: Oklahoma. Stanford, Long Beach, Longwood
Bubble Bursters
Illinois State (Missouri Valley), Louisiana-Lafayette (Sun Belt) and Fordham (Atlantic 10) project as at-large teams if they fail to win automatic bids in conference tournaments. The same is true of Pacific, if it surrenders its lead in the Big West during the final weekend of the regular season. All four would knock teams off the bubble if they needed to avail themselves of the at-large route.
Conversely, if Fresno State wins the WAC tournament, no other team in the conference projects as an at-large team, opening up one more at-large spot in the projections above.
Graham Hays 